Air China Expands its U.S. Network – Services to Washington Starts in June; Houston becomes daily

Air China (CA) has announced firm dates for its Beijing (PEK) – Washington Dulles (IAD) service. The airlines application has been approved by the U.S. Department of Transportation recently. The four-times weekly service will start on June 10, 2014 with Boeing 777-300 ER. In addition to the large O&D market offered by the Washington-Baltimore area, Air China would get ample connection opportunities using the route operated by its Star Alliance partner United Airlines (UA). A mid afternoon arrival at Washington is timed to connect passengers to destinations throughout the East Coast on United’s extensive route network from Dulles. United Airlines already operates a daily IAD-PEK service.

Houston service goes daily

Staring March 30, 2014, Air China will also increase its frequency on the Beijing – Houston (IAH) route from four times a week to daily. The expansion comes within eight months of launching the service to Houston, indicating strong demand.

Covering all bases

With these new and additional flights to Beijing, Air China will serve all Star Alliance hubs in North America, except Denver, either using its own metal or through an alliance partner.

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Together, Air China, United Airlines and Air Canada will command a 75% share in the important North America to Beijing market. With extensive route network from their hubs, the alliance can connect any two destinations between China and North America.

DOT approves four more beyond-perimeter routes to DCA – Alaska, Southwest, Virgin America and JetBlue get the nod

The US Department of Transportation today selected four more beyond-perimeter routes to Washington’s Ronald Reagan National Airport (DCA). US DOT selected applications from Alaska Airlines (AS) to serve Portland, OR (PDX); Southwest Airlines (WN) to serve Austin (AUS); Virgin America (VX) to serve San Francisco (SFO) and JetBlue (B6) to serve San Juan, PR (SJU).

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The FAA Reauthorization Bill allows eight slot pairs for beyond-perimeter destinations. The network carriers (United, Delta, American and US Airways) were allowed to convert one of their slot-pairs to operate a beyond-perimeter destination. Four new slot-pairs were awarded to carriers that have minimal service at the airport. Alaska is the biggest beneficiary. It already serves to Seattle and Los Angeles from DCA. With Portland, OR added to its kitty, it would operate daily services from Reagan to three of the top five West Coast cities.

I think, Southwest is playing it safe by selecting Austin. It could have applied for Denver, Las Vegas or Phoenix, but the chances of getting approval from DOT are remote.

US Airways announces flights to Jackson, MS from Reagan but no details yet on the route for its long distance slot

I received few emails from our readers about announcement from US Airways about nonstop flights from Washington Ronald Reagan National Airport to Jackson, MS (JAN). I think they are under the impression that US Airways is utilizing the long distance slot to start service to Jackson. This is not correct. US Airways has not yet announced its plan for the usage of one slot pair permitted by DOT under the FAA Reauthorization Bill to start service to a destination exempted by the perimeter rule. The Jackson flight will be operated using the slots it gained by the slot-swap deal with Delta. I confirmed this with the US Airways Corporate Communications department.

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Under the FAA Reauthorization Bill, the four network careers (United, Delta, American and US) got exemptions to operate one round trip service to a destination beyond the 1250 statute miles limited by the perimeter rule. The careers did not get new slot pairs, but have to use one of their existing slot pairs to start this service. United, American and Delta already announced their routes for these exemptions.

Considering the fact that US Airways is the dominant career at Reagan National, it would take time to carefully evaluate its route options for the long distance slot. From Reagan National, it already operates three daily flights to Phoenix(PHX) and a one daily to Las Vegas (LAS). It would be very interesting to see how it would use the slot.

More A380 Services Start – Air France to Washington Dulles and San Francisco; Lufthansa to Miami

Starting June 6, 2011, Air France started its Airbus A380 Super Jumbo services to Washington Dulles and San Francisco International from Paris-Charles de Gaulle. The service to Washington Dulles would operate year around. The SFO service would be a summer only affair (ends in September 4, 2011). Air France already operates A380 services from Paris CDG to New York JFK and Montreal, Canada.

In the meantime, Lufthansa inaugurates its A380 service to Miami on June 10, 2011 (on the Frankfurt route). Lufthansa already operates A380 services from Frankfurt to New York JFK and San Francisco. All Lufthansa services are  operated year around.

Air France A380 - Courtesy: Air France

Air France A380 - Courtesy: Air France

Happy Flying!!!

BTW, don’t expect a 380 service from any US carriers or British Airways. They have no A380 in their order books. Their plan is to have the B787 Dreamliner as an alternative to the Airbus Super Jumbo. The earliest available delivery date for the B787, which Boeing keeps deferring, is fall 2011.

Thoughts on Lufthansa’s selection of Miami as the next A380 destination

Lufthansa today announced that Miami would be the next US destination to be served by Airbus A380. The world’s largest passenger airplane would replace the Boeing 747 currently operated on the Frankfurt – Miami route.

Lufthansa A380 - Courtesy: Lufthansa

Lufthansa A380 - Courtesy: Lufthansa

Lufthansa’s selection of North American destinations for A380 is interesting:

New York JFK is currently served four times a week using A380. The JFK service will become a daily on A380 starting April 10, 2011 (this means LH will delay the resumption of A380 service to Tokyo Narita, suspended due to the recent Tsunami and Earthquake, for a longer period). San Francisco will be served using A380 starting May 10, 2011. Miami will get A380 service starting June 10, 2011.

The JFK service is a no-brainer. The interesting thing to note here is Lufthansa’s preference of Miami and San Francisco over Newark Liberty (EWR), Chicago O’Hare (ORD) and Washington Dulles (IAD), all Star Alliance hubs and major gateways for LH. As more A380’s join the fleet, these gateways would get the service, but right now, they are not included.

There could be several reasons for this. I believe the following reasons played a major role in the selection process.

1. Single daily flight is easy to upgrade: Miami, with just one flight per day, and virtually no connection traffic, gives Lufthansa the flexibility to switch the metal from B747 to A380. San Francisco, though a Star hub, is also served by a single Lufthansa flight. So, it is easy for LH to replace the B747 with A380. Newark, Chicago and Washington need multiple flights from Frankfurt, as Lufthansa connects majority of its US bound traffic from these hubs through Star partner United. From these hubs, Lufthansa needs multiple frequencies a day to provide better connection options to its frequent flyers.

The exceptions to this theory are Toronto (YYZ) and Los Angeles (LAX), both Star hubs with a single Lufthansa flight (though Toronto is served by 2 daily flights from its anchor Air Canada).

2. A380 better than B744 on non-hub cities: Operating an A380 is more cost effective than a B744. Lufthansa’s B744s have poor customer reception. Replacing them with A380 would provide a better chance to protect its turf in hubs dominated by other carriers (MIA is a good case – it could deter American Airlines from starting a competing service).

3. Alliance Partners have a say in equipment upgrade: United and Air Canada have a transatlantic joint venture with Lufthansa and the schedules at Star hubs are coordinated between these carriers for optimal connections. United, being the anchor at EWR, ORD and IAD, has to make sure parity of service quality with Lufthansa in these hubs. So, United may be less receptive to LH upgrading these routes with A380, because its own product would fall behind in quality. The same argument goes for YYZ and Air Canada.

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So, my prediction is this: the next Lufthansa destination for A380 will be Los Angeles, followed by Houston and Boston.

Newark, Chicago, Washington and Toronto will have to wait get their turns.

Moral of this analysis: sometimes, being a hub with multiple daily flights to a destination can be a drawback to get better service!!!!

Reagan National Airport And Long Distance Flights

The FAA Re-Authorization bill is stuck in the United States Senate because of a battle over allowing more long distance flights to Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (commonly called just National Airport in the Washington/Baltimore metro area).

Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport - Courtesy: Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority

What is the Perimeter Rule?

Reagan National Airport has a Perimeter Rule that prevents flights longer than 1250 miles. It is also a slot-controlled airport, which means the number of take-offs and landings are strictly controlled by the FAA. Any increase to the number slots has to be approved by the FAA/DOT. This means the slots are one of the most valuable commodities. Airlines scramble to get slots at Reagan National. The traffic is mostly business travelers and O&D.

Why Perimeter Rule was put in place first?

  1. The initial objective of the Perimeter Rule was to drive traffic to the newly built, once thought as a white-elephant, distant Dulles International Airport.
  2. With the advent of Jet age, the rule was cited as a preventive measure to control noise around the densely populated Northern Virginia suburbs of Arlington and Alexandria.
  3. With the terrorist attacks on September 2001, the security angle also came into play, because of the airport’s proximity to downtown Washington and Pentagon.

Why the Rule is still in place?

The real reasons for not relaxing the rules are the following:

  1. The local population living around the area vehemently opposes any relaxation of these rules fearing increased air and noise pollution. This means the local politicians have no incentive to support this measure.
  2. Both Reagan National and Dulles are run by the same agency – Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority, which sees no big reason to change the status quo.
  3. The local population is used to drive to Dulles, as it is the main international gateway to the region. People on the Maryland side of the beltway have easy access to Baltimore Washington Thurgood Marshal Airport (commonly referred here as BWI). BWI offers excellent low fare choices as it is the hub for Southwest Airlines.
  4. All the three airports thrive because of their unique advantages (National – preferred by the business traveler, mostly O&D traffic; Dulles – primary international gateway with wealthy population living around; BWI – excellent low fare choices).
  5. And finally, the local law makers and airport administrators have some concern of loosing traffic to Reagan National if more flights and destinations are added (which is not true as I explain it later).

These reasons make sense as it is a local transportation issue and hence the local people and leaders should make decision.

Why Perimeter Rule is a problem?

  1. The restrictions are against the free competitive market spirit of America.
  2. Also, the Western US markets such as California, Oregon, Washington, Arizona, Colorado and Utah want direct non-stop access to Reagan National Airport. Their argument cannot be dismissed either – they want to have access to the closest airport to downtown Washington.

What is the problem in adding more services to Western markets?

  1. The issue gets complicated as there are no free slots available to add more flights.
  2. Adding new slots will be opposed by the local population living around the airport.
  3. Exiting slots cannot be used to start services to these new markets because of the fear that the smaller markets in the Midwest will loose their existing service. The law makers and business leaders in Midwest would not agree to that.

So, what should the Congress do?

Should it repeal the Perimeter Rule? No.

Should it keep the rule as is? No.

Congress should strike a compromise.

  1. Allow very limited number of new slots to Reagan National in order to serve San Francisco, San Jose, San Deigo and Portland, OR markets of the Western states. These markets lack non-stop service to Reagan National airport.
  2. These slots should not be used for expanding existing services to markets such as Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Denver and Salt Lake City, because they already have non-stop services to Reagan National.

What are the implications of adding few new slots?

Local Population Living Around National Airport – With modern jetliners, the noise and air pollution is much less than what we think. So, this should not affect their quality of life.

Markets that already have services to National Airport – New slots are used for these services and hence it should not be a problem.

Dulles Airport – There are some concerns with the local law makers and airport administrators that Dulles might loose some traffic. But, the impact on Dulles would be minimal. Dulles thrives and it is the largest airport in the region. It serves two of the wealthiest counties in country (Loudoun and Fairfax). It also serves the economic engine of Northern Virginia, namely the Tysons Corner and Dulles Technology corridor. With United operating its transatlantic hub, there should be plenty of connecting traffic in addition to the O&D.

BWI Airport – BWI would do fine too, as it caters to the Baltimore market in addition to the Washington market. It also has the low fare juggernaut in Southwest.

US Airways – Ideally US Airways would prefer to use its existing slots because new slots would be very difficult to justify as it is the dominant carrier at National. But, it could argue with DOT that as a dominant carrier, it should get some new slots so that it can offer connections to West Coast for smaller Eastern communities through National. I am not sure how this argument will fly with DOT. So, if new slots are allowed, it would mostly be negative to US Airways as other airlines would compete to get them. If few of the existing slots are allowed to start these services, US Airways would be the major beneficiary.

United Airlines – United also has something to gain and loose in this arrangement. As a dominant airline at Dulles, it might loose some business traffic to National Airport because San Francisco is one of the top destinations in Washington/Baltimore area. On the same token, as a dominant airline in SFO, United could win new slots to serve SFO from National (Virgin America would compete to get these slots too).

Other Airlines – If Portland, OR is allowed to have direct service, Alaska airline may benefit.